Calibration
We claim a probability for every active rumour. This page reports how accurate those claims have been against actual outcomes — the same honesty test a weather forecaster faces. Lower Brier score is better; a perfect forecaster scores 0, an always-50% forecaster scores 0.25.
Preliminary — sample size is below 100. The numbers below are shown for transparency but are not yet a reliable calibration claim.
Sample size
0
Brier score
0.000
Log loss
0.000
Calibration plot
blue = mean predicted · green = actual rate0–10%—
10–20%—
20–30%—
30–40%—
40–50%—
50–60%—
60–70%—
70–80%—
80–90%—
90–100%—